Interesting. A few fine points that seem to be bugging me though, and some
terms that need to be defined better.
Seems to me that you can factor the "ecological sustainability" into the
more traditional models by assigning a value to "ecosystem services" in
just the same way you can assign value to real estate or other natural
resources. The way a wetland filters storm water runoff or protects a
coastline from hurricane damage can be assigned a value in whatever
currency you choose.
I have to object to the statement "the ultimate outcome of an economy is
necessarily a steady state". This is clearly not true based on both the
past history of human society, and an understanding of system theory in
general. There are plenty of systems that never reach a steady state. Some
systems oscillate and some systems have chaotic behavior. Systems that
converge to a steady state are sort of a special case, and I see no
evidence that human economic systems are one of those cases.
Coming at it from a systems engineering point of view, I think that
"investing" or "speculating" means that someone believes that they
have a
model which can predict future behavior of the system based on some known
inputs, and chooses to use that model to bet on some future outcome. I'm
not sure exactly what the difference is between investing and speculating.
Perhaps someone can help flesh that out?
"Manipulation" seems to mean that not only do I have a model for the future
behavior of the system based on its inputs, but that I also have control
over some of the inputs.
steve
On Sun, May 5, 2013 at 9:38 PM, GtwoG PublicOhOne <g2g-public01(a)att.net>wrote;wrote:
Sonja, Rabbit, Ryan, and Yo's-
Re. alternative currencies: I've given a lot of thought to this subject
over the years.
A currency is not only a transaction medium but a measure of wealth in an
economy: real resources that have economic value. There are basically
three types of resources: natural resources, labor, and capital.
Natural resources include: Renewable energy sources (solar, wind,
geothermal, tidal, biomass), non-renewable energy sources (fossil fuels,
uranium, thorium), minerals (nonliving matter that's taken from the
ground), and agricultural products such as food.
Labor includes: casual labor, unskilled and skilled occupations, and
licensed occupations.
Capital includes: natural capital (land, monetized resources), industrial
capital (e.g. tools, plant & equipment), inventoried goods, and financial
capital (equity and debt instruments).
I'm inclined to treat real estate as a limited natural resource (land) or
as natural capital generally. Today it is often treated primarily as a
concretized form of financial capital, which leads to speculative bubbles
such as the one that produced the present depression.
A sustainable economy, in the purely economic sense (ecological
sustainability is a different axis of measurement), is one that is largely
resilient against manipulation and fraud, and boom and bust cycles. Boom &
bust economies are like bulimia: binge & barf, inherently unhealthy and
harmful.
Ecological sustainability isn't dealt with by conventional economics,
which works on a "flat Earth" model: as if the Earth is an infinite flat
plane. This is the most important fatal flaw of conventional economics,
and it leads to the myth of infinite growth. The most important foundation
for a new economic paradigm is the recognition that the Earth is not flat,
not an infinite plane, but is a Euclidean solid with a finite surface and
therefore with finite resources. From this, the rest follows.
From this, two other things follow that are "taboo" in conventional
economics: the ultimate outcome of an economy is necessarily a steady
state, that can be anywhere on a spectrum from the most egregiously
exploitative (e.g. a slave economy with a hereditary aristocracy) to the
most equalitarian ("from each according to ability, to each according to
need"). The most likely outcome of a steady-state economy is the
inexorable demand for economic justice or "distributional equity," with its
center of gravity in a sustainable middle class, and viable paths to
economic sustenance for all.
The role of currencies in building economic resilience is: a) to provide
negative feedback loops in the economy, that prevent the positive feedbacks
that cause booms and busts, b) to minimize the occurrence of fraud and
manipulation, and c) to provide isolation or compartmentalization that
enables "quarantine" of economic damage: such as preventing a local
economic crisis from going global, and preventing a global economic crisis
from affecting every locality.
Currencies, with those points in mind:
A viable economy would include three levels of currency: global, national,
and local/regional. The global currency handles transactions between
nations. The national currency handles transactions between localities
within each nation-state. And the local/regional currency handles
transactions that occur wholly within the scope of local/regional
economies.
The ideal global currency would be denominated in energy, for example in
joules as Rabbit pointed out. Ultimately, energy is the foundation of all
economic transactions: the global common denominator.
National currencies tend to be based on arbitrary measures of value,
whether gold or the credit of national governments. But in general they
tend to represent the wealth of nations, plus or minus the effects of
speculation. If I was setting up a national currency from scratch, I
would value it in terms of natural and industrial capital: real capital
wealth.
There's been much discussion of the proper foundations for local
currencies. In the Bay Area there is a group that is working on the
premise of a local currency denominated in the food production of local
agriculture. But one of the most successful local currencies, "Ithaca
Hours," is based on the value of local labor. To my mind this is correct:
because labor is the one resource that is reliably available in every local
economy.
I've studied the Ithaca Hours system in some depth, and I'd suggest anyone
who's interested in local currencies do likewise, starting with a keyword
search.
The major value of a local currency to any local peoples (such as
ourselves) is that it enables us to maintain functioning economies when the
global or national economies are in crisis. By analogy it's like having
rubber tires and shock absorbers on a bus, to insulate the riders from
bumps and potholes along the road. All other factors equal, you don't want
to ride on a bus where a bad road translates to a bone-crunching ride.
Even where many or most of our transactions are not local, the ability of
a local currency to insulate certain parts of a local economy from national
and global economic crises, translates to the difference between having to
tighten your belt vs. not being able to eat, or having less work vs. having
no work.
Re. the IRS:
The question always comes up: what does the IRS have to say about this?
As it turns out, the IRS takes a practical attitude toward local
currencies. They have two requirements, that are entirely reasonable:
One, that the exchange rate between a local currency and the US Dollar
must be public, must be arguably reasonable, and must not subject to
insider manipulation.
Two, that income earned in local currency must be declared for purposes of
income tax, translated to US Dollars at the current exchange rate, and the
taxes paid in US Dollars.
If we do those things, we're good to go.
Re. Bitcoin:
I'm highly skeptical of Bitcoin, precisely because it has demonstrated a
tendency toward bubbles and busts, speculation, and manipulation by
questionable actors. These characteristics do not make for a stable holder
of wealth or a stable medium of transactions.
The primary usefulness of Bitcoins is that they facilitate anonymity of
online transactions. This is all well and good, but can also be
accomplished by creating online financial institutions that anonymize
transactions made in US Dollars or other currencies. By analogy think of
Gift Cards, that are issued by Visa and Mastercard, but that aren't tied
down to your legal name.
Anonymization without speculation & manipulation:
In the type of institution I have in mind, account holders would have
accounts in their legal names as they do at any bank or credit union.
Transactions would occur in two steps: one occurring in your personal or
business account, and one occurring in the institution's account.
For example you buy something online. A payment goes from your account to
the institution's common account, and another payment goes from the
institution's common account to the person or company you're paying. The
latter payment is anonymized: it is made between the institution and the
person being paid, and assigned a transaction number that you and they can
use to track it.
For example you sell something online. The buyer makes a payment to the
institution's common account and obtains a transaction number and gives you
that number. You use that transaction number to move the payment from the
institution's common account to your personal account.
The question has been raised as to whether this could be used for, or seen
as, a form of money laundering. I believe the answer is No, because the
institution itself would maintain records of every transaction, and these
records would (only) be accessible for lawful uses such as investigating
crimes or as evidence in civil lawsuits. The important difference is that
the transaction records would be private aside from those two exceptions
(criminal and civil cases), and not be accessible to Big Data, so your
purchases of (for example) consenting adult porn, or your reading habits in
general, wouldn't become part of your dossier.
As far as Porn-O-Mat or Amazon, Ebay or iTunes, or any of those, are
concerned, they are doing business with another business entity (the
Cyberia Credit Union or whatever we call it). They have no need or desire
for a "person name" for every transaction, any more than
Staples.com does
when they sell office supplies to a company that's an incorporated entity.
They are not going to turn down transactions just because they don't have
the legal person-name of the soft squishy human body that sits in the
hypothetical office cubicle for which the office supplies (or porn,
best-sellers, flea-market goods, songs, etc.) have been bought.
In other words, we can get the most important benefit of Bitcoin, without
sticking our hands in the shark- and piranha-infested waters of speculation
and sabotage that have become Bitcoin's habitat.
So: is anyone here interested in creating a labor-based currency, and/or
an online credit union for anonymous transactions?
-G.
=====
On 13-05-05-Sun 12:09 PM, Sonja Trauss wrote:
+1
On Sun, May 5, 2013 at 11:53 AM, Rabbit <rabbitface(a)gmail.com> wrote:
Someone was proposing a currency denominated in
joules which would
represent the ability to generate that much energy in the future.
https://medium.com/armchair-economics/183c2ad47b50
The exchange rate between Bitcoiny CPU cycles and joules would be
pretty straightforward to figure out.
But: would this be more prone to speculation and bubbles since it's
based on our estimation of what will happen in the future? And what
happens when everyone tries to cash in their joules at the same time?
On Sun, May 5, 2013 at 10:44 AM, Ryan Bethencourt <
ryan.bethencourt(a)gmail.com> wrote:
Hi All,
I've been reading/following the whole evolution of bitcoins as
currency and I'm still a bitcoin skeptic (I prefer potential rather than
spent processing power :) ).
So I was curious, has anyone in the past tried to create a virtual
currency based on a resource value, like future usage of CPU time (i.e. $1
would equal an equivalent amount of electricity and hardware wear and tear
for x number of CPU cycles, which could be exchanged either for the cycles,
at a super computer bank or for other currencies)?
To me it seems that bit coin is like a spent CPU resource rather than
a future resource and by flipping the equation to future rather than past
value a currency based on this type of commodity would be useful... any
thoughts?
R
--
Ryan Bethencourt
Tel: (415) 794 6463 <%28415%29%20794%206463>
ryan.bethencourt(a)gmail.com
www.bamh1.com
www.linkedin.com/in/bethencourt
www.logos-press.com/books/biotechnology_business_development.php
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